Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Talita Alencar has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Talita AlencarW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Rayanne dos Santos · Dec 23L
vs Stephanie Luciano · Aug 24W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Apr 25W
DECvs Julia Polastri · Apr 26 Ariane Carnelossi
oldest →W
SUBvs Istela Nunes · Oct 21L
vs Loopy Godinez · May 22W
vs Piera Rodriguez · May 24L
KOvs Ketlen Souza · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Talita AlencarMetricAriane Carnelossi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.58Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Talita AlencarAriane Carnelossi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Talita Alencar(5 fights)Ariane Carnelossi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +70.8|Blue -70.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -322.0|Blue +322.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Talita AlencarTargetAriane Carnelossi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ariane Carnelossi rounds
Round 1Talita Alencar edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns2
Control1:51
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:39Control
Round 2Talita Alencar edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns2
Control1:30
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 3Talita Alencar edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control2:49
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
