Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erick Montano has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Randy Brown has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erick Montano
oldest →W
vs Enrique Marin · Nov 15L
KOvs Max Griffin · Nov 16 Randy BrownL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25L
DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erick MontanoMetricRandy Brown
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.73evenly matched on net striking+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Erick MontanoRandy Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erick Montano(3 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -139.2|Blue +139.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Erick MontanoTargetRandy Brown
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Erick Montano edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:58
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:05Control
Round 2Erick Montano edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control4:12
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:04
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
