Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ketlen Vieira has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sara McMann
oldest →W
SUBvs Gina Mazany · Feb 17L
SUBvs Marion Reneau · Feb 18W
vs Lina Lansberg · Jan 20L
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Jan 21 Ketlen Vieira
oldest →W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23L
vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24W
vs Macy Chiasson · May 25L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25W
DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sara McMannMetricKetlen Vieira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.34Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sara McMannKetlen Vieira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sara McMann(10 fights)Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -19.4|Blue +19.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +55.0|Blue -55.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sara McMannTargetKetlen Vieira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sara McMann edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control4:07
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:25
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
