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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Germaine de Randamie won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1354

Elo1497

Larissa PachecovsGermaine de RandamieUFC Prediction Result

UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · Saturday, March 14, 2015Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Germaine de Randamie won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:02

Model Prediction: Germaine de Randamie wins(69.4%)

Actual result: Germaine de Randamie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Germaine de Randamie at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Germaine de Randamie has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Germaine de Randamie has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Larissa Pacheco

Red Corner

Germaine de Randamie

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1354

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Larissa Pacheco

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 14

latest

Germaine de Randamie

oldest →

vs Holly Holm · Feb 17

vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18

vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19

SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20

vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Larissa PachecoMetricGermaine de Randamie

1.21

Strikes / min

2.57

4.14

Strikes absorbed / min

2.00

55%

Strike defense

65%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.93Δ 3.50 — meaningful gap+0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Larissa PachecoGermaine de Randamie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Larissa Pacheco(2 fights)Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -142.9|Blue +142.9

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -311.0|Blue +311.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Larissa PachecoTargetGermaine de Randamie

By target zone

8% acc · 50%

Head

34% acc · 90%

25% acc · 13%

Body

0% acc

38% acc · 38%

Leg

50% acc · 10%

By position

13% acc · 100%

Distance

34% acc · 97%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Larissa Pacheco rounds

even

Germaine de Randamie rounds

Round 1Germaine de Randamie edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:19

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Germaine de Randamie edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 60

Sig Strikes

29 / 84

12%

Sig Str %

38%

13 / 66

Total Strikes

31 / 86

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:19

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Germaine de Randamie	16 / 57	18 / 59	0 / 0
1	Larissa Pacheco	6 / 43	11 / 49	0 / 0
2	Germaine de Randamie	13 / 27	13 / 27	0 / 0
2	Larissa Pacheco	2 / 17	2 / 17	0 / 0

Larissa Pacheco

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Germaine de Randamie

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9