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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Yadier del Valle won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1484

Elo1544

Darren ElkinsvsYadier del ValleUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Yadier del Valle won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:35

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Darren Elkins

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Darren Elkins at +499 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsYadier del Valle: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Tale of the Tape

Darren Elkins

Red Corner

Yadier del Valle

Blue Corner

+537

(16%)

Vegas Odds

-811

(89%)

1484

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Darren Elkins

oldest →

vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22

vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22

SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23

vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24

KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25

latest

Yadier del Valle

oldest →

SUBvs Connor Matthews · May 25

SUBvs Isaac Dulgarian · Nov 25

vs Jordan Leavitt · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Darren ElkinsMetricYadier del Valle

3.40

Strikes / min

4.05

3.34

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

51%

Strike defense

55%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

1.23

56%

Takedown defense

58%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap+1.89

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Darren Elkins(10 fights)Yadier del Valle(4 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Darren ElkinsTargetYadier del Valle

By target zone

0% acc

Head

80% acc · 80%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

0% acc

Distance

67% acc · 40%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

Ground

100% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Darren Elkins rounds

even

Yadier del Valle rounds

Round 1Yadier del Valle edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 2

Sig Strikes

5 / 6

Sig Str %

83%

0 / 2

Total Strikes

5 / 6

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yadier del Valle	5 / 6	5 / 6	0 / 0	0
1	Darren Elkins	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 1	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Yadier del Valle

Odds

-741

Market-implied probability

Darren Elkins 16%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Darren Elkins (model pick · research)$599

Yadier del Valle$113

16% market-implied · model 51% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Aug 2, 2026, 12:43 AM UTC at +499 · never rewritten

Darren Elkins

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights31

Yadier del Valle

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4