Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gegard Mousasi enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gegard Mousasi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gegard MousasiW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Thales Leites · Feb 16W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Jul 16W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Oct 16W
KOvs Uriah Hall · Nov 16W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 17 Ilir Latifi
oldest →L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gegard MousasiMetricIlir Latifi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.54Δ 3.42 — meaningful gap-0.88
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gegard Mousasi(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -6.4|Blue +6.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gegard MousasiTargetIlir Latifi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gegard Mousasi edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:06
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Gegard Mousasi edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Gegard Mousasi edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:31Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
