Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bojan Velickovic (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Bojan Velickovic
oldest →W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Apr 16L
vs Sultan Aliev · Dec 16W
KOvs Nico Musoke · May 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricBojan Velickovic
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jake MatthewsBojan Velickovic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Bojan Velickovic(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +159.7|Blue -159.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +280.0|Blue -280.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake MatthewsTargetBojan Velickovic
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns2
Control4:32
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Bojan Velickovic edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:10
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:44Control
Round 3Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control2:23
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:52Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
