Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Ortiz
oldest →L
SUBvs Brandon Moreno · Apr 17W
KOvs Hector Sandoval · Aug 17W
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 18W
KOvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 18L
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jan 19 Ray Borg
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin OrtizMetricRay Borg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.77Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin OrtizRay Borg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Ortiz(10 fights)Ray Borg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin OrtizTargetRay Borg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dustin Ortiz edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control2:41
2Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:04Control
Round 2Dustin Ortiz edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:37
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:48Control
Round 3Dustin Ortiz edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control1:06
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
