Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jakub Wiklacz has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Patchy Mix (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Patchy Mix
oldest →L
vs Mario Bautista · Jun 25 Jakub Wiklacz
oldest →W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Patchy MixMetricJakub Wiklacz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.00Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Patchy MixJakub Wiklacz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Patchy Mix(2 fights)Jakub Wiklacz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -61.1|Blue +61.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Patchy MixTargetJakub Wiklacz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jakub Wiklacz edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control1:48
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:01Control
Round 2Patchy Mix edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns2
Control1:17
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Patchy Mix edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control4:36
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
