Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Gooden threatens submissions; Abubakar Nurmagomedov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jared Gooden has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared Gooden
oldest →W
KOvs Niklas Stolze · Jul 21L
vs Carlston Harris · Mar 23W
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Dec 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Oct 24 Abubakar Nurmagomedov
oldest →L
SUBvs David Zawada · Nov 19W
vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev · Oct 22L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared GoodenMetricAbubakar Nurmagomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.34Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jared GoodenAbubakar Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Gooden(7 fights)Abubakar Nurmagomedov(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -378.0|Blue +378.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jared GoodenTargetAbubakar Nurmagomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Abubakar Nurmagomedov rounds
Round 1Abubakar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 2Abubakar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Abubakar Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
