Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Danny Roberts enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michel Pereira has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danny Roberts (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Danny RobertsL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Zelim Imadaev · Nov 19W
vs Ramazan Emeev · Oct 21L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · May 22L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 22L
KOvs Jonny Parsons · Jul 23 Michel Pereira
oldest →L
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Oct 24L
vs Abus Magomedov · Apr 25L
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Aug 25L
DECvs Shara Magomedov · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Danny RobertsMetricMichel Pereira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.55evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Danny RobertsMichel Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Danny Roberts(10 fights)Michel Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.6|Blue +24.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.1|Blue +48.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Danny RobertsTargetMichel Pereira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michel Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
