Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Guido Cannetti (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Rivas
oldest →W
DECvs Rodolfo Rubio · Nov 14W
KOvs Noad Lahat · Feb 16L
vs Jose Quinonez · Aug 17 Guido Cannetti
oldest →L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20L
vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21W
KOvs Kris Moutinho · Mar 22W
SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego RivasMetricGuido Cannetti
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.77Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego RivasGuido Cannetti
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Rivas(4 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -131.4|Blue +131.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +162.0|Blue -162.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego RivasTargetGuido Cannetti
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Guido Cannetti edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control1:20
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:37Control
Round 2Guido Cannetti edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:15Control
Round 3Diego Rivas edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:44
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
