Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexandre Pantoja threatens submissions; Kai Asakura has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Alexandre Pantoja has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexandre Pantoja
oldest →W
vs Brandon Moreno · Jul 23W
vs Brandon Royval · Dec 23W
SUBvs Kai Kara-France · Jun 25L
KOvs Joshua Van · Dec 25 Kai Asakura
oldest →L
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Aug 25W
KOvs Cameron Smotherman · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexandre PantojaMetricKai Asakura
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-1.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexandre PantojaKai Asakura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexandre Pantoja(10 fights)Kai Asakura(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.9|Blue -18.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexandre PantojaTargetKai Asakura
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Alexandre Pantoja rounds
Round 1Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns2
Control1:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Alexandre Pantoja edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control1:46
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
