Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Karl Roberson has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Glover Teixeira has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Karl Roberson (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23 Karl RobersonL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Glover TeixeiraMetricKarl Roberson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.70evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Glover TeixeiraKarl Roberson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Glover Teixeira(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +21.3|Blue -21.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +104.0|Blue -104.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Glover TeixeiraTargetKarl Roberson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Karl Roberson edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:46
Knockdowns0
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
