Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nikita Krylov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Modestas Bukauskas has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Modestas Bukauskas (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita KrylovL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Oct 22W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Modestas BukauskasW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Marcin Prachnio · Jul 24W
KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Feb 25W
vs Ion Cutelaba · May 25W
KOvs Paul Craig · Sep 25W
DECvs Christian Edwards · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricModestas Bukauskas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikita KrylovModestas Bukauskas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Modestas Bukauskas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.8|Blue +52.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikita KrylovTargetModestas Bukauskas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Modestas Bukauskas rounds
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:58
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:36
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:56Control
Round 3Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
