Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rose Namajunas has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26 Carla EsparzaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Michelle Waterson · May 20W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Jul 20W
KOvs Yan Xiaonan · May 21L
SUBvs Zhang Weili · Nov 22L
vs Tecia Pennington · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricCarla Esparza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rose NamajunasCarla Esparza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Carla Esparza(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -168.0|Blue +168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rose NamajunasTargetCarla Esparza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 4Carla Esparza edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:02
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 5Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:08
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
