Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- George Sullivan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- George Sullivan has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Igor Araujo has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Igor Araujo
oldest →W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Oct 13W
vs Danny Mitchell · Mar 14L
vs Sean Strickland · Jul 15 George SullivanL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Tim Means · Apr 15W
vs Dominic Waters · Jul 15L
KOvs Alexander Yakovlev · Jan 16L
SUBvs Niko Price · Jan 18L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Aug 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Igor AraujoMetricGeorge Sullivan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.34Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Igor AraujoGeorge Sullivan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Igor Araujo(4 fights)George Sullivan(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.2|Blue +12.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Igor AraujoTargetGeorge Sullivan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1George Sullivan edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:35Control
Round 2George Sullivan edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
