Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Calvin Kattar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Youssef Zalal has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Calvin Kattar has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Youssef Zalal (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Calvin KattarL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jan 22L
KOvs Arnold Allen · Oct 22L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 24L
vs Steve Garcia · Jul 25 Youssef Zalal
oldest →W
SUBvs Billy Quarantillo · Mar 24W
SUBvs Jarno Errens · Aug 24W
SUBvs Jack Shore · Nov 24W
SUBvs Josh Emmett · Oct 25L
DECvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Calvin KattarMetricYoussef Zalal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.14Δ 3.13 — meaningful gap+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Calvin KattarYoussef Zalal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Calvin Kattar(10 fights)Youssef Zalal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -52.6|Blue +52.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +203.0|Blue -203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Calvin KattarTargetYoussef Zalal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Youssef Zalal edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Youssef Zalal edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
