Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
James VickL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19 Joe DuffyL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 16W
SUBvs Mitch Clarke · Jul 16L
vs Marc Diakiese · Mar 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
James VickMetricJoe Duffy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.82Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
James VickJoe Duffy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
James Vick(10 fights)Joe Duffy(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.6|Blue +9.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -56.0|Blue +56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
James VickTargetJoe Duffy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Duffy edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 2James Vick edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
