Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eric Spicely enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Sam Alvey is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Eric Spicely has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sam Alvey (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric SpicelyL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Sep 16W
SUBvs Alessio Di Chirico · Jan 17L
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Dec 17L
KOvs Darren Stewart · May 18 Sam AlveyL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Julian Marquez · Apr 21L
vs Wellington Turman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 22L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SpicelyMetricSam Alvey
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eric SpicelySam Alvey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Spicely(6 fights)Sam Alvey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -56.8|Blue +56.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +47.8|Blue -47.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eric SpicelyTargetSam Alvey
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:14
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
