Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joseph Holmes enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alen Amedovski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joseph Holmes has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Joseph Holmes has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joseph HolmesL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Jamie Pickett · Jan 22L
SUBvs JunYong Park · Oct 22L
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · May 23 Alen AmedovskiL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Apr 19L
KOvs John Phillips · Sep 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joseph HolmesMetricAlen Amedovski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.20Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap-2.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joseph HolmesAlen Amedovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joseph Holmes(4 fights)Alen Amedovski(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +24.7|Blue -24.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -840.0|Blue +840.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joseph HolmesTargetAlen Amedovski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joseph Holmes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
