Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dustin Jacoby
oldest →L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Jun 24W
KOvs Vitor Petrino · Dec 24W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · May 25W
KOvs Julius Walker · Feb 26L
KOvs Muhammad Saidov · Jul 26 Maxim Grishin
oldest →L
vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 20W
KOvs Gadzhimurad Antigulov · Oct 20W
vs William Knight · Feb 22L
vs Philipe Lins · Jun 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dustin JacobyMetricMaxim Grishin
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48evenly matched on net striking+0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dustin JacobyMaxim Grishin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dustin Jacoby(10 fights)Maxim Grishin(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +18.9|Blue -18.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dustin JacobyTargetMaxim Grishin
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Maxim Grishin edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:13
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:08Control
2Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:35
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
