Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 24W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26 Hakeem DawoduL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20W
vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Movsar EvloevMetricHakeem Dawodu
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.11evenly matched on net striking+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Movsar EvloevHakeem Dawodu
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Movsar Evloev(10 fights)Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +63.1|Blue -63.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Movsar EvloevTargetHakeem Dawodu
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns4
Control3:36
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns3
Control4:34
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 3Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control0:45
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
