Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkanovski has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24 Mizuto HirotaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Jun 13L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 18L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander VolkanovskiMetricMizuto Hirota
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.68Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander VolkanovskiMizuto Hirota
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)Mizuto Hirota(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +151.6|Blue -151.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander VolkanovskiTargetMizuto Hirota
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Alexander Volkanovski rounds
Round 1Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns3
Control2:23
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control1:39
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control1:16
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
