Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Marion Reneau threatens submissions; Jessica Andrade has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Jessica Andrade has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Marion Reneau has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25 Marion ReneauL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jessica AndradeMetricMarion Reneau
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.79Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jessica AndradeMarion Reneau
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Marion Reneau(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +79.8|Blue -79.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jessica AndradeTargetMarion Reneau
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:01
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
