Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Volkanovski has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alexander Volkanovski has 68pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yusuke Kasuya (53.5%).
- Alexander Volkanovski has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander VolkanovskiW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yair Rodriguez · Jul 23L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 23L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yusuke KasuyaMetricAlexander Volkanovski
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.17Δ 4.85 — meaningful gap+2.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yusuke KasuyaAlexander Volkanovski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yusuke Kasuya(2 fights)Alexander Volkanovski(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -162.1|Blue +162.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yusuke KasuyaTargetAlexander Volkanovski
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Alexander Volkanovski rounds
Round 1Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:40
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:37Control
Round 2Alexander Volkanovski edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
