Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ricardo Lamas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bill Algeo (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ricardo Lamas
oldest →W
KOvs Jason Knight · Jul 17L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19 Bill AlgeoL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Alexander Hernandez · Oct 23L
KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ricardo LamasMetricBill Algeo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+1.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ricardo LamasBill Algeo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)Bill Algeo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.0|Blue +5.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.4|Blue +48.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ricardo LamasTargetBill Algeo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes47
Takedowns1
Control0:32
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Bill Algeo edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:53
34Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 3Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns3
Control3:48
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
