Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Christos Giagos has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mizuto HirotaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Jun 13L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jun 17L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 18 Christos GiagosL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21L
SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22W
KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23L
SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mizuto HirotaMetricChristos Giagos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.14evenly matched on net striking-0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mizuto HirotaChristos Giagos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mizuto Hirota(6 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -125.6|Blue +125.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +224.0|Blue -224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mizuto HirotaTargetChristos Giagos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Christos Giagos edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:41Control
Round 2Christos Giagos edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:58Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:05
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
