Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jakub Wiklacz threatens submissions; Muin Gafurov has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Muin Gafurov has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Jakub Wiklacz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muin GafurovW2 streak
oldest →L
vs John Castaneda · Jun 23L
SUBvs Said Nurmagomedov · Oct 23W
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 24W
vs Rinya Nakamura · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muin GafurovMetricJakub Wiklacz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-0.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Muin GafurovJakub Wiklacz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muin Gafurov(5 fights)Jakub Wiklacz(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -46.4|Blue +46.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +259.0|Blue -259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Muin GafurovTargetJakub Wiklacz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:38
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jakub Wiklacz edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:14
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:19Control
Round 3Muin Gafurov edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns1
Control0:52
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
