Flyweight

3 Rounds

Joseph Benavidez won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1397

Elo1353

Joseph BenavidezvsDarren UyenoyamaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · Saturday, April 20, 2013San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Joseph Benavidez won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:50

Model Prediction: Joseph Benavidez wins(51.0%)

Actual result: Joseph Benavidez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joseph Benavidez at -570 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Joseph Benavidez has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Joseph Benavidez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Joseph Benavidez

Red Corner

Darren Uyenoyama

Blue Corner

-570

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+480

(17%)

1397

Elo

1353

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Joseph BenavidezL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Ortiz · Jan 19

KOvs Jussier Formiga · Jun 19

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Feb 20

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jul 20

vs Askar Askarov · Mar 21

latest

Darren Uyenoyama

oldest →

vs Norifumi Yamamoto · Nov 11

SUBvs Phil Harris · Oct 12

vs Alptekin Ozkilic · Dec 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Joseph BenavidezMetricDarren Uyenoyama

3.52

Strikes / min

1.34

2.67

Strikes absorbed / min

2.21

61%

Strike defense

66%

1.41

TDs / 15 min

1.42

62%

Takedown defense

35%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.85Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Joseph BenavidezDarren Uyenoyama

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Joseph Benavidez(10 fights)Darren Uyenoyama(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +44.3|Blue -44.3

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -120.0|Blue +120.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Joseph BenavidezTargetDarren Uyenoyama

By target zone

28% acc · 61%

Head

25% acc · 55%

80% acc · 14%

Body

43% acc · 27%

82% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

38% acc · 86%

Distance

28% acc · 73%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

30% acc · 11%

Ground

50% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Joseph Benavidez rounds

even

Darren Uyenoyama rounds

Round 1Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns2

Control1:21

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Joseph Benavidez edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:29

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 153

Sig Strikes

11 / 33

36.5%

Sig Str %

30.5%

63 / 162

Total Strikes

11 / 33

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:50

Ctrl Time

0:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Darren Uyenoyama	9 / 19	9 / 19	0 / 0
1	Joseph Benavidez	20 / 57	26 / 65	2 / 2
2	Darren Uyenoyama	2 / 14	2 / 14	0 / 2
2	Joseph Benavidez	37 / 96	37 / 97	0 / 0

Joseph Benavidez

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights21

Darren Uyenoyama

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4