Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alan Jouban is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Alan Jouban has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan Jouban
oldest →L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20 Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan JoubanMetricNiko Price
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.90Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alan JoubanNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Jouban(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -78.0|Blue +78.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alan JoubanTargetNiko Price
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Niko Price edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
