Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demetrious Johnson has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Demetrious Johnson has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Wilson Reis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demetrious Johnson
oldest →W
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16L
vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18 Wilson Reis
oldest →W
DECvs Ulka Sasaki · Feb 17L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Sep 17L
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Apr 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demetrious JohnsonMetricWilson Reis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap-1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Demetrious JohnsonWilson Reis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)Wilson Reis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Demetrious JohnsonTargetWilson Reis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Demetrious Johnson rounds
Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:01
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:23
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns1
Control1:54
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
