Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jake Matthews has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jake Matthews
oldest →W
vs Francisco Prado · Feb 25W
SUBvs Chidi Njokuani · Jul 25L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Sep 25W
DECvs Carlston Harris · May 26 Dashon Johnson
oldest →L
SUBvs Godofredo Pepey · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jake MatthewsMetricDashon Johnson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 3.54 — meaningful gap-2.82
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jake Matthews(10 fights)Dashon Johnson(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +168.8|Blue -168.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jake MatthewsTargetDashon Johnson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control4:41
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns3
Control3:46
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Jake Matthews edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control2:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
