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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Chase Hooper won · Submission R1

Elo1525

Elo1440

Chase HoopervsMitch RamirezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA

Official fight result

Chase Hooper won

Submission · Round 1 · 2:15

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Chase Hooper

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Chase Hooper at -374 American odds · hypothetical only

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chase Hooper threatens submissions; Mitch Ramirez has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Chase Hooper has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Chase Hooper

Red Corner

Mitch Ramirez

Blue Corner

-374

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+294

(25%)

1525

Elo

1440

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Chase HooperL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 24

SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24

vs Jim Miller · Apr 25

KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Aug 25

KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Mitch RamirezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thiago Moises · Mar 24

KOvs Mike Davis · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Chase HooperMetricMitch Ramirez

4.50

Strikes / min

3.51

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

3.98

39%

Strike defense

37%

2.43

TDs / 15 min

0.59

55%

Takedown defense

25%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.48Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap-0.47

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Chase Hooper(10 fights)Mitch Ramirez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +84.4|Blue -84.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -259.0|Blue +259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Chase HooperTargetMitch Ramirez

By target zone

33% acc · 67%

Head

Body

100% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

43% acc · 100%

Distance

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Chase Hooper rounds

even

Mitch Ramirez rounds

Round 1Chase Hooper edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:27

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 7

Sig Strikes

1 / 1

42%

Sig Str %

100%

4 / 8

Total Strikes

3 / 3

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:27

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mitch Ramirez	1 / 1	3 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Chase Hooper	3 / 7	4 / 8	1 / 2	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Chase Hooper

Odds

-374

Market-implied probability

Chase Hooper 76%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Chase Hooper (model pick · research)$127

Mitch Ramirez$393

76% market-implied · model 62% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -374 · never rewritten

Chase Hooper

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14

Mitch Ramirez

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3