Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Andreas Michailidis · Jun 22W
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22W
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 23W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 24W
KOvs Andreas Gustafsson · Sep 25 latest Carlos Leal
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Morono · Mar 25L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 25W
vs Chidi Njokuani · Feb 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rinat FakhretdinovMetricCarlos Leal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rinat FakhretdinovCarlos Leal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)Carlos Leal(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +28.7|Blue -28.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rinat FakhretdinovTargetCarlos Leal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Rinat Fakhretdinov rounds
Round 1Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:57
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control0:53
37Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it
Sig. strikes52
Takedowns0
Control0:24
42Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.