Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Louis Smolka is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Richie Vaculik has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Richie Vaculik
oldest →L
KOvs Justin Scoggins · Dec 13W
DECvs Roldan Sangcha-an · Jun 14L
vs Danny Martinez · Nov 15 Louis SmolkaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21L
KOvs Davey Grant · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Richie VaculikMetricLouis Smolka
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Richie VaculikLouis Smolka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Richie Vaculik(4 fights)Louis Smolka(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -69.2|Blue +69.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.7|Blue +2.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Richie VaculikTargetLouis Smolka
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Richie Vaculik edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns1
Control0:35
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Louis Smolka edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:30
36Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 3Louis Smolka edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
