Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ross Pearson enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Ross Pearson has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 16L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19 Mizuto HirotaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Jun 13L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jun 17L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricMizuto Hirota
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ross PearsonMizuto Hirota
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Mizuto Hirota(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.7|Blue -2.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ross PearsonTargetMizuto Hirota
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mizuto Hirota edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Mizuto Hirota edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
