Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paige VanZant enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paige VanZant threatens submissions; Rachael Ostovich has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Rachael Ostovich threatens submissions; Paige VanZant has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Rachael Ostovich has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rachael Ostovich has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paige VanZantL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rose Namajunas · Dec 15W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20 Rachael OstovichL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Karine Gevorgyan · Dec 17L
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Jul 18L
KOvs Gina Mazany · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paige VanZantMetricRachael Ostovich
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.73Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap-1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paige VanZantRachael Ostovich
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paige VanZant(9 fights)Rachael Ostovich(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +100.5|Blue -100.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.9|Blue -2.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +173.0|Blue -173.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paige VanZantTargetRachael Ostovich
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rachael Ostovich edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control4:12
6Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Paige VanZant edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:21
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
