Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ross Pearson has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ross PearsonL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 17W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Feb 18L
vs John Makdessi · Jul 18L
KOvs Desmond Green · Mar 19 Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ross PearsonMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ross PearsonFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ross Pearson(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -124.7|Blue +124.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -13.0|Blue +13.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ross PearsonTargetFrancisco Trinaldo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Francisco Trinaldo rounds
Round 1Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Francisco Trinaldo edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:22
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:39
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
