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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Nico Musoke won · Decision R3

Elo1360

Elo1391

Nico MusokevsAlexander YakovlevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Saturday, October 4, 2014Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Nico Musoke won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nico Musoke wins(58.7%)

Actual result: Nico Musoke wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nico Musoke at -205 American odds

+$49 profit

$149 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nico Musoke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Yakovlev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Nico Musoke

Red Corner

Alexander Yakovlev

Blue Corner

-205

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+188

(35%)

1360

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Nico MusokeL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alessio Sakara · Oct 13

DECvs Viscardi Andrade · Feb 14

DECvs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 14

DECvs Albert Tumenov · Jan 15

KOvs Bojan Velickovic · May 17

latest

Alexander YakovlevL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 16

SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16

SUBvs Alex Da Silva · Apr 19

vs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 19

SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Nico MusokeMetricAlexander Yakovlev

—

Strikes / min

1.74

—

Strikes absorbed / min

2.41

—

Strike defense

58%

—

TDs / 15 min

1.66

—

Takedown defense

72%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Nico MusokeAlexander Yakovlev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Nico Musoke(6 fights)Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -30.1|Blue +30.1

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Nico Musoke

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights3

Alexander Yakovlev

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9