Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jimmy Flick threatens submissions; Nate Maness has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Nate Maness has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Nate Maness has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmy Flick
oldest →W
SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 20L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 23L
KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 23W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Jan 24L
vs Matt Schnell · Apr 25 Nate Maness
oldest →W
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Nov 20W
KOvs Tony Gravely · Sep 21L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jun 22L
SUBvs Tagir Ulanbekov · Nov 22W
KOvs Mateus Mendonca · Oct 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmy FlickMetricNate Maness
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.03Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jimmy FlickNate Maness
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmy Flick(6 fights)Nate Maness(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -18.5|Blue +18.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jimmy FlickTargetNate Maness
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nate Maness edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control1:05
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Nate Maness edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:50
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:46Control
Round 3Nate Maness edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:46
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
