Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Soa Palelei is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jared Rosholt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Jared Rosholt has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Soa Palelei has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Soa Palelei
oldest →W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Aug 13W
KOvs Ruan Potts · May 14W
KOvs Walt Harris · Nov 14L
KOvs Antonio Silva · Aug 15 Jared Rosholt
oldest →L
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Nov 14W
KOvs Josh Copeland · Mar 15W
DECvs Tim Johnson · Aug 15W
vs Stefan Struve · Nov 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Soa PaleleiMetricJared Rosholt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Soa PaleleiJared Rosholt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Soa Palelei(6 fights)Jared Rosholt(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -29.0|Blue +29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Soa PaleleiTargetJared Rosholt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jared Rosholt edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:42
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:21Control
Round 2Jared Rosholt edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:38Control
Round 3Jared Rosholt edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
