Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walt Harris has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Walt HarrisL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21 Mark Godbeer
oldest →L
SUBvs Justin Ledet · Nov 16W
vs Daniel Spitz · Mar 17L
SUBvs Dmitry Sosnovskiy · Mar 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Walt HarrisMetricMark Godbeer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Walt HarrisMark Godbeer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Walt Harris(10 fights)Mark Godbeer(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -89.4|Blue +89.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -217.0|Blue +217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Walt HarrisTargetMark Godbeer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Walt Harris edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control3:11
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
