Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Caio Borralho has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Caio Borralho has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio Borralho
oldest →W
SUBvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 23W
vs Abus Magomedov · Nov 23W
KOvs Paul Craig · May 24W
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 24L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 25 Reinier de Ridder
oldest →W
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Nov 24W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jan 25W
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 25L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio BorralhoMetricReinier de Ridder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.86evenly matched on net striking+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Caio BorralhoReinier de Ridder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Borralho(9 fights)Reinier de Ridder(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.5|Blue -7.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Caio BorralhoTargetReinier de Ridder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Reinier de Ridder rounds
Round 1Reinier de Ridder edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:26Control
Round 2Reinier de Ridder edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:41
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 3Caio Borralho edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control2:11
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
