Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rin Nakai has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Miesha Tate has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miesha Tate
oldest →W
KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22W
SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23 Rin Nakai
oldest →L
vs Leslie Smith · Mar 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miesha TateMetricRin Nakai
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.43Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-2.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miesha TateRin Nakai
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miesha Tate(10 fights)Rin Nakai(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.6|Blue -138.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miesha TateTargetRin Nakai
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control0:54
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:23
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 3Rin Nakai edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:26
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
