Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Pat Sabatini has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Pat Sabatini has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Pat SabatiniW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Nov 23W
SUBvs Jonathan Pearce · Oct 24W
vs Joanderson Brito · Apr 25W
vs Chepe Mariscal · Nov 25W
DECvs William Gomis · May 26 TJ Laramie
oldest →L
SUBvs Darrick Minner · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Pat SabatiniMetricTJ Laramie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.53Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap-1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Pat SabatiniTJ Laramie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Pat Sabatini(10 fights)TJ Laramie(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +123.7|Blue -123.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -427.0|Blue +427.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Pat SabatiniTargetTJ Laramie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1TJ Laramie edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:21
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:53Control
Round 2Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control3:57
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 3Pat Sabatini edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns3
Control3:41
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
