Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Martin Buday enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Martin Buday has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Martin Buday has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris BarnettL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Ben Rothwell · May 21W
KOvs Gian Villante · Nov 21W
KOvs Jake Collier · Sep 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Oct 24L
vs Hamdy Abdelwahab · Oct 25 Martin BudayW3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Josh Parisian · Aug 23L
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Dec 23W
vs Andrei Arlovski · Jun 24W
vs Uran Satybaldiev · Apr 25W
vs Marcus Buchecha · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris BarnettMetricMartin Buday
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-3.19Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris BarnettMartin Buday
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Barnett(6 fights)Martin Buday(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -43.7|Blue +43.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris BarnettTargetMartin Buday
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Martin Buday edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:15Control
Round 2Martin Buday edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:17
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:08Control
Round 3Martin Buday edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
