Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Norma Dumont has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Norma Dumont has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chelsea Chandler (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Norma Dumont
oldest →W
vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24W
vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25L
DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26 Chelsea Chandler
oldest →W
KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Oct 22W
vs Josiane Nunes · Mar 24L
KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 25W
SUBvs Priscila Cachoeira · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Norma DumontMetricChelsea Chandler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.52Δ 2.41 — meaningful gap-0.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Norma DumontChelsea Chandler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Norma Dumont(10 fights)Chelsea Chandler(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.2|Blue -14.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Norma DumontTargetChelsea Chandler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control2:24
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 2Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control2:47
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 3Norma Dumont edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control3:47
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
