Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michinori Tanaka enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Soto has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joe Soto has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe SotoL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Chris Beal · Jun 16W
SUBvs Marco Beltran · Nov 16L
SUBvs Brett Johns · Dec 17L
KOvs Iuri Alcantara · Feb 18 Michinori TanakaL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Roland Delorme · Jun 14L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Sep 14L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Feb 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe SotoMetricMichinori Tanaka
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.01Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe SotoMichinori Tanaka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Soto(8 fights)Michinori Tanaka(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.5|Blue -4.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -259.0|Blue +259.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe SotoTargetMichinori Tanaka
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 2Michinori Tanaka edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:51Control
Round 3Joe Soto edged it
Sig. strikes53
Takedowns1
Control0:14
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:06Control
