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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ezra Elliott won · Decision R3
Elo1524
Ezra Elliott
Elo1477
Damien Anderson editorial illustration

Ezra ElliottvsDamien AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA

Official fight result

Ezra Elliott won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Ezra Elliott

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Ezra Elliott at +102 American odds · hypothetical only

+$102 profit

$202 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ezra Elliott
Red Corner
VS
Damien Anderson
Blue Corner
+104
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-124
(55%)
1524
Elo
1477
N/A
Age
N/A
N/A
Stance
N/A
N/A
Height
N/A
N/A
Reach
N/A
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +47.0|Blue -47.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ezra ElliottTargetDamien Anderson

By target zone

4
50% acc · 67%
Head
5
31% acc · 71%
1
50% acc · 17%
Body
2
100% acc · 29%
1
100% acc · 17%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

2
33% acc · 33%
Distance
2
25% acc · 29%
0
0% acc
Clinch
3
75% acc · 43%
4
100% acc · 67%
Ground
2
25% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Ezra Elliott rounds
0
even
0
Damien Anderson rounds
Round 1Ezra Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns4
Control3:41
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ezra Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns4
Control4:03
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ezra Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns4
Control3:17
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
6 / 11
Sig Strikes
7 / 20
58%
Sig Str %
36%
21 / 29
Total Strikes
23 / 37
12 / 18
TDs
0 / 2
67.7%
TD %
0%
3
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
11:01
Ctrl Time
0:47

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Damien Anderson4 / 914 / 200 / 11
1Ezra Elliott1 / 64 / 94 / 70
2Damien Anderson2 / 42 / 40 / 10
2Ezra Elliott5 / 55 / 54 / 53
3Damien Anderson1 / 77 / 130 / 00
3Ezra Elliott0 / 012 / 154 / 60

The Pick

Vegas favorite
Damien Anderson
Odds
-123

Market-implied probability

Ezra Elliott 47%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Ezra Elliott (model pick · research)$202
Damien Anderson$181

47% market-implied · model 50% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at +102 · never rewritten

Ezra Elliott

Stance—
Height—
Reach—
Fights1

Damien Anderson

Stance—
Height—
Reach—
Fights1